- As a result of the American Rescue Plan, enrollees may want to reconsider their plan choice for 2022
- Consider provider networks and covered drug lists
- Determine your worst-case scenario
- Use deductibles and coinsurance for a back-of-the-envelope comparison
- Don’t get enamored with low out-of-pocket expenses on more robust plans
- If your plan has tiered networks, pay attention to out-of-pocket costs
- Silver plans are popular for a reason (CSR subsidies)
- CSR pricing variations might make Gold a better value in some areas
- Consider Quality Ratings (star ratings)
- Remember: one size does not fit all
When it comes to selecting a health insurance plan, the premium is the most important factor for many shoppers – especially those who are currently healthy. But price shouldn’t be the only factor upon which you base your selection, even if your primary concern is financial (as opposed to factors such as provider networks, drug formularies, and quality ratings).
Does the American Rescue Plan change anything about choosing a health plan?
The temporary subsidy enhancements created by the American Rescue Plan (ARP) make it more important than ever for people to actively consider their coverage for 2022, to ensure that they’re getting the best possible value from their health coverage.
Obamacare subsidy calculator *
Estimated annual subsidy
You might find that you’re newly eligible for a subsidy in 2022 (even if you weren’t when you looked last fall), or that you qualify for a larger subsidy that makes a more robust plan fit into your budget.
(If you’re receiving unemployment compensation and you expect to still be receiving it in 2022, you’ll want to consider the available Silver plans. The ARP provided substantial subsidies in 2021 for people receiving unemployment compensation, and some of the extra help is only available if you select a Silver plan. The version of the Build Back Better Act that was unveiled in October 2021 includes a provision to extend these extra subsidies through 2025. That legislation is still up in the air as of November 2021, but it’s something to keep an eye on if you expect to be receiving unemployment compensation in 2022.)
The primary thing to keep in mind for 2022 is to make sure you’re enrolled in a marketplace plan (and the option that best fits your needs and budget) in order to take advantage of the enhanced subsidies.
If you signed up for something like a short-term plan or a health care sharing ministry plan last fall, you’ll want to reconsider your options this fall. You may be pleasantly surprised to see how affordable the coverage is, and how many options you have.
Consider provider networks and covered drug lists
If you have preferred medical providers and/or take any prescription medications, those factors will likely be among the first that you should consider when you’re shopping for health coverage.
Each health plan creates its own provider network and drug formulary (covered drug list). And even if two plans both have the same drug in their formulary, they may cover it differently (in a different tier, for example, with different out-of-pocket costs).
If you’re transitioning from an employer-sponsored health plan to the individual market, keep in mind that the provider networks and drug formularies can be very different in the two markets, even if the same health insurance company offers the plans. Don’t assume that a plan will cover your drugs and include your doctors in its network just because of the experience you’ve had with another plan from that same insurer in the recent past.
Determine your worst-case scenario.
The worst-case scenario is pretty easy to determine. Just add the total annual premiums plus the maximum out-of-pocket for each plan, and see how they stack up. If you qualify for a premium subsidy (keeping in mind that they’re larger and more widely available due to the ARP), be sure to use the after-subsidy premium for each plan when you’re calculating how much the coverage will cost.
You can find this even before you create an account with the exchange, by using the exchange’s plan browsing tool. It only takes a minute or two and doesn’t need any identifying data.
The ACA’s limit on out-of-pocket maximums makes this sort of financial comparison easier than it was in the past. In 2022, no ACA-compliant plan has a maximum out-of-pocket that exceeds $8,700 for an individual or $17,400 for a family. And as has been the case since 2016, all family plans are required to have embedded individual out-of-pocket maximums. That means no single individual on a family plan will be required to pay more than $8,700 in out-of-pocket costs for in-network care, even if the family deductible has not yet been met.
But some plans – especially at the Gold and Platinum level, plus Silver-level plans for people who qualify for cost-sharing reductions – have maximum out-of-pocket limits that are significantly lower than those amounts. And they also cover more expenses before the out-of-pocket maximum is reached. Those factors are important to consider when you’re comparing the overall cost of various plans.
Let’s look at a hypothetical example for Kelly, a single 35-year-old applicant who doesn’t qualify for subsidies (even under the ARP, this is possible; it depends on the cost of the benchmark plan relative to household income; although more people qualify for subsidies under the ARP, some still do not). She’s considering three different plans – one Bronze, one Silver, and one Gold. All of them cover preventive care at no charge, as required by the ACA.
For this comparison, we’re assuming the Gold plan is more expensive than the Silver plan. But since 2018, that hasn’t always been the case, due to the cost of cost-sharing reductions (CSR) being added to Silver plan premiums in many states.
The following plan descriptions are overly simplified in order to make the math easy. Although Bronze, Silver, and Gold plans pay an average of 60, 70, and 80% of average total healthcare costs, respectively, their plan structure varies significantly from one policy to another, even within the same metal level.
Some state-run exchanges offer standardized plans, and California’s exchange requires all plans to be standardized. But in most states, it can be challenging to make an apples-to-apples comparison of plans, even within the same metal level. Some plans have separate deductibles for services like hospitalizations and prescription drugs, some have copays for office visits while others count office visits towards the deductible. There’s no way to really compare plans without reading at least some of the fine print. But for the sake of our back-of-the-envelope comparison, we’ll just look at deductibles, coinsurance, and maximum out-of-pocket exposure.
- The Bronze plan is $270/month, and has a $7,500 deductible with all claims applied to the deductible. After the deductible, Kelly would pay 40% of her claims until she reaches an $8,700 maximum out-of-pocket.
- The Silver plan is $350/month, has a $3,000 deductible, and Kelly will be responsible for 30% of the claim after the deductible, until she reaches a $7,000 maximum out-of-pocket.
- The Gold plan is $420/month, has a $1,000 deductible, and Kelly will pay 20% of her claims after the deductible until she reaches the maximum out-of-pocket of $3,500.
We can easily calculate the worst-case scenario for the three plans: Multiply the premium by 12 months, and add it to the maximum out-of-pocket to see the total financial exposure for each plan:
- Bronze: $3,240 + $8,700 = $11,940
- Silver: $4,200 + $7,000 = $11,200
- Gold: $5,040 + $3,500 = $8,540
But for most people, large claims don’t happen very often. And although some people may not use their coverage at all during the year, most people fall somewhere in the middle. Especially if you have a pre-existing condition, you can be relatively sure that you’ll incur at least some claims during the coming year. That’s where it’s helpful to judge each plan based on how it would perform in the event of relatively minor – but still expensive – claims.
What if Kelly breaks her arm and incurs a claim that totals $4,200 after the network-negotiated discount? Here’s her total expense for the year (premiums + out-of-pocket costs) with each plan:
- Bronze: $3,240 + $4,200 (total claim applied to the deductible) = $7,440
- Silver: $4,200 + $3,000 (deductible) + $360 (30% of the remaining $1,200) = $7,560
- Gold: $5,040 + $1,000 (deductible) + $640 (20% of the remaining $3,200) = $6,680
If the only health insurance claims you make are for preventive care, a Bronze plan is going to end up being the least expensive option, because the premiums are lowest and preventive care is covered 100 percent on all plans. But if you have other claims, a plan with a higher metal level might save you money over the course of the year, even though the premiums are higher. So even if price is the most significant factor in your decision, it’s important to remember to include the cost of a claim as well as the cost of the plan itself.
But don’t focus entirely on the cost of claims
On the other hand, don’t let yourself get so enamored with the low out-of-pocket expenses on the more robust plans that you inadvertently end up paying more than you need to. We often see plan comparisons where the difference in premium is greater than the difference in potential out-of-pocket savings.
For example: a plan with a deductible that is $1,000 lower than a competing plan, but that costs $100 more per month and offers similar coverage after the deductible. Buying it would mean that you’d spend an extra $1,200 in premiums, to possibly save $1,000 if you have a significant claim. That’s why it’s important to spend a little time crunching numbers before you select a plan.
And if one of the plans you’re considering is HSA-qualified, don’t forget to account for the tax savings you’d get if you contribute to an HSA during the year. Assuming you’d be willing and able to make contributions to an HSA, you’d want to subtract the tax savings from the total amount that each plan is going to cost you, so that you can get an accurate overall picture of how each plan would affect your finances.
If your plan has tiered networks, pay attention to out-of-pocket costs
It’s also important to be aware that some plans have tiered networks, which have lower copays and deductibles as long as you go to doctors and hospitals in the top tier. There’s some controversy around tiered network plans, but they tend to be popular with consumers, as they offer a good combination of low cost-sharing (assuming the patient sticks with top-tier providers) and affordable premiums.
If you’re considering a plan with a tiered network, pay attention to the out-of-pocket costs for both the preferred and non-preferred provider tiers, and crunch the numbers both ways. If you pick a plan with a tiered network, your best bet will be to use doctors and hospitals in the top tier. But it’s important to also understand what your costs will be if you end up needing to see in-network providers who aren’t in the top tier.
Silver plans’ cost-sharing subsidies
Silver plans have proven to be by far the most popular choice in the exchanges, accounting for roughly two-thirds of all enrollments in the first four years of ACA implementation. Silver plan enrollments dropped off a little in recent years (we’ll get into the reason for that in a moment), but the plans have become more popular again in 2021, thanks to the ARP’s much more robust premium subsidies:
- In 2014, 65% of people who enrolled through HealthCare.gov (the federally-run exchange) selected Silver plans, and 95% of those Silver plans included financial assistance.
- In 2015, Silver plans accounted for 69% of HealthCare.gov enrollees.
- 71% of HealthCare.gov enrollees picked Silver plans for 2016, along with 59% of enrollees in states with their own enrollment platforms.
- 71% of exchange enrollees picked Silver plans in 2017.
- 63% of exchange enrollees picked Silver plans in 2018.
- 59% of exchange enrollees picked Silver plans in 2019.
- 57% of exchange enrollees picked Silver plans in 2020.
- 55% of exchange enrollees picked Silver plans in 2021 (pre-ARP; this percentage likely increased later in 2021, once the ARP subsidies were implemented).
One reason for the popularity of Silver plans – and the high percentage of Silver plan enrollees who received premium subsidies – is cost-sharing reductions, or CSR (also known as cost-sharing subsidies). If your household income does not exceed 250% of poverty, you’re eligible for cost-sharing subsidies in addition to premium subsidies (in case you have questions about income rules, here’s how household income is calculated under the ACA).
During the open enrollment period for 2021 health plans, 12 million people enrolled in plans through the exchange, and nearly 5.7 million of them enrolled in plans with built-in CSR benefits. And that was before the American Rescue Plan made coverage more affordable, allowing more people to select Silver plans instead of lower-cost Bronze plans.
For 2022 coverage, 250% of the poverty level is $32,200 for a single individual in the continental US, and $66,250 for a family of four. The CSR benefits are strongest, however, for people with income that doesn’t exceed 200% of the poverty level, which is $25,760 for a single person, and $53,000 for a family of four (this is all based on the 2021 poverty level numbers, which are used to determine subsidy eligibility for 2022 coverage). Although the Trump administration announced in October 2017 that funding for cost-sharing subsidies would be discontinued, the cost-sharing subsidies themselves continue to be available, and that’s still the case for 2022.
The cost-sharing subsidies are automatically included in Silver plans for enrollees whose income makes them eligible to receive cost-sharing subsidies. Cost-sharing subsidies are not available at the other metal levels, and do not show up among the available plan selections for people with income too high for CSR eligibility. These plans have lower out-of-pocket maximums and higher actuarial value than a regular Silver plan – they’ll save you money when you need to use your health coverage. And you can apply your premium subsidy towards their purchase price.
Cost-sharing subsidies are generally not as well understood as premium subsidies, but as long as applicants are actively comparing the nuts and bolts of each available plan – as opposed to just looking at premiums – the Silver plans that include cost-sharing subsidies will stand out as options that offer exceptional value. They will be more expensive than Bronze plans, but will provide significantly better coverage. Their out-of-pocket maximums will be lower than that of comparably priced plans, and they will also cover more medical expenses before the out-of-pocket maximum is reached.
Gold plans: a better value in some areas
Cost-sharing reductions (CSR, aka cost-sharing subsidies) were in the headlines throughout 2017, as the Trump administration repeatedly threatened to cut off funding for them, and then announced definitively in October 2017 that the funding would end.
But despite the elimination of funding, CSR benefits continue to be available. The Congressional Budget Office estimated that the elimination of CSR funding would increase average Silver plan premiums by about 20% in 2018, and most insurers did add the cost of CSR to their premiums. In most states, the cost of CSR was added to Silver plan premiums for 2018, but some states and insurers took other approaches.
For 2019 and 2020, insurers in even more states added the cost of CSR to Silver plan premiums. In nearly every state, they have continued to do so for 2021 (a budget bill enacted in late 2019 ensured that this approach could continue to be used by insurers in 2021, and it’s overwhelmingly the most common approach that insurers take). Indiana and Mississippi are the only states where Silver-loading isn’t allowed as of 2022.
Because premium subsidies are based on the cost of Silver plans (specifically, the benchmark plan in each area), the majority of the premium increase to cover the cost of CSR is ultimately still being paid by the federal government, in the form of larger premium subsidies.
But due to the CSR funding cut, Silver plans in some areas now actually cost more than Gold plans, and some enrollees can qualify for premium-free Gold plans after their subsidy is applied. For people with income below 200% of the poverty level (about $25,760 for a single individual in 2022; note that the prior year’s poverty level numbers are used for these calculations), the best choice is probably a Silver plan for 2022, as the out-of-pocket costs are much lower due to CSR, and the ARP’s enhanced premium subsidies will offset much of the higher premiums.
But people with income above 200% of the poverty level might be better off with a Gold plan instead of a Silver plan if the premiums are quite similar (CSR is available up to 250% of the poverty level, but its effects are much less significant once you exceed 200% of the poverty level).
Because the cost of CSR is now being added to Silver plan premiums in most areas, there continue to be Gold plans that are less expensive than Silver plans in some areas. Consumers should shop carefully and look at all of the available options before making a decision — don’t assume that pricing will follow the patterns we saw pre-2018, when premiums generally rose consistently from one metal level to the next.
Although premium subsidies offset the increased cost of Silver plans for most people, Silver plans are disproportionately expensive in most areas for people who aren’t eligible for premium subsidies. If they buy a Silver plan, they’re paying not only for the regular cost of the coverage, but also for the cost of CSR, since that cost is baked into the premiums for Silver plans in most areas.
This is a big part of the reason Silver plan selections have dropped off since 2017; people who don’t get premium subsidies are generally better off with a plan at a different metal level. But again, subsidy eligibility has been expanded under the ARP, so there just aren’t as many people who don’t qualify for subsidies.
Consider Quality Ratings
After you’ve narrowed down the options based on premiums, out-of-pocket costs, how the available plans will cover your prescriptions, and which plans have your preferred medical providers in-network, you might also want to consider Quality Ratings. Many of the marketplace plans available in your area will have star ratings under the Quality Rating System.
This is another piece of the puzzle, but for most people, it should be a way to narrow down the options after you’ve considered the other points described above, rather than a starting point.
Keep in mind that not all plans have star ratings; if a plan is too new or doesn’t have a large enrollment, it may just say that it’s not rated. That’s not a reason to avoid a plan, as it may be an excellent plan that’s simply new to the market.
One size does not fit all
If your household income doesn’t exceed 200% of poverty (this amounts to $43,920 for a family of three enrolling in 2022 coverage), a Silver plan with integrated cost-sharing subsidies will likely be the best choice for you, and will likely provide a better overall value than the Bronze, Gold, or Platinum plans.
This might also be true for people with income between 200 and 250% of the poverty level, but as noted above, a Gold plan might be a better value in 2022 in some areas, due to the way some states and insurers are adding the cost of CSR to premiums.
People who have moderate pre-existing conditions and expect to file claims during the upcoming year will probably be better served by a higher-level plan (or a cost-sharing Silver plan if they qualify for it), regardless of premiums.
But very healthy applicants may find that they prefer the lower premiums of a Bronze plan, despite the potential for higher costs if they do need to file a claim. And enrollees with very serious medical conditions, who know they will meet their plan’s maximum out-of-pocket no matter what plan they select, might find that they’re also better off with a lower-cost Bronze plan (or an HSA-qualified plan at any metal level), since the combined total cost of the premiums and out-of-pocket exposure might end up being lower.
There’s no one-size-fits-all when it comes to health coverage; each person’s health history, risk tolerance, and budget have to be taken into consideration when selecting a plan.
Personal assistance from a navigator or broker will be invaluable if you’re struggling to compare the various options available to you. (You can call one of healthinsurance.org’s partners at (866) 683-3949 to talk with a licensed, exchange-certified broker who can enroll you in an ACA-compliant plan.)
Louise Norris is an individual health insurance broker who has been writing about health insurance and health reform since 2006. She has written dozens of opinions and educational pieces about the Affordable Care Act for healthinsurance.org. Her state health exchange updates are regularly cited by media who cover health reform and by other health insurance experts.