How I became a health policy wonk, my favorite policy charts, and what’s ahead for health reform
A Curbside Consult with Aaron Carroll, health services researcher and health policy blogger at The Incidental Economist
Aaron blogs regularly at The Incidental EconomistJournal of the American Medical Association's blogCNN.com
Aaron's favorite health policy charts
In Part One of our interview, we discuss two of Aaron's best little charts. "My favorite charts," Aaron says, "are ones that basically dispel deep-seated memes."
The first chart concerns changes in lifespan among American retirees since the 1970s. This is an important issue for Medicare policy. Our implicit sense that retirees live a lot longer than they used to animates proposals to raise the ages of Social Security and Medicare retirement eligibility.
As Aaron demonstrated, virtually all of the recent increase in lifespan among American male retirees has actually occurred among people in the top half of the income distribution. Men within the bottom 50 percent experienced virtually no change. Aaron's fans, such as Paul Krugman, noted that this chart underscored why raising the Medicare eligibility age is so misguided.
The second Aaron-chart is more fun. It illustrates the proportion of Canadians who migrate to the U.S. to receive health care. I won't spoil it. I'll just say that, yeah, it's a tiny proportion. We get on to some related subjects, in which vivid but unlikely possibilities unduly sway people's behavior on subjects ranging from the flu to home gun safety.
The road ahead for health reform
In Part Two of our interview, we talk about the road ahead for health reform and in particular, what's ahead for the state health insurance exchanges. We talk about the expansion of Medicaid and why states are likely to ultimately accept the expansion.
Aaron explains why the insurance industry won't stand in the way of the reform law, and why doctors will welcome an expansion of Medicaid.
And, while governors may sit back and let the federal government drive at the launch of the state health insurance exchanges, he says, they are likely to quickly take the wheel when the exchanges start rolling.
at the University of Chicago. He has written about health policy for the Washington PostNew York TimesNew RepublicThe Huffington Post
